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Bill Baruch is founder and President of Blue Line Futures, Blue Line Capital, and Blue Creek Capital. Bill has extensive experience in the financial industry as an advisor, trader and manager. He started his career as an investment banking analyst, but quickly left for the fast paced world of commodity trading in 2007. He got his start as a Market Strategist at Lind Waldock’s Chicago Board of Trade office. Lind Waldock was purchased by MF Global and he began running his own trade desk there in 2009. In 2011, he took a role as the Chief Market Strategist at iiTRADER. Blue Line Futures is a futures and commodities brokerage, Blue Line Capital is a registered investment advisor, Blue Creek Capital is a commodity trading advisor.

Blue Line Futures

September 15, 2021

China, Inflation, and a Potential Crude Breakout

Deluge of economic indicators from China for August last night all underwhelmed and were impacted by Covid. China Industrial Production for August YoY at 5.3% versus 5.8% expected was the slowest since last July.

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Blue Line Futures

September 8, 2021

Jobs and Central Bankers

Traders eye tomorrow’s ECB meeting and expectations are mounting for the central bank to reduce its quantitative easing program.

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Blue Line Futures

September 3, 2021

Trading Jobs Friday

Nonfarm Payroll is due at 7:30 am CT. The report will be watched extremely close, for it could signal the Federal Reserve’s next move come September 22nd.

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Blue Line Futures

September 2, 2021

Record Highs and Claims Ahead of Nonfarm

U.S. benchmarks are again pointing higher after strength overnight. However, this week, price action has struggled to hold highs through the entirety of the U.S. session as it digests a vicious rally over the last two weeks.

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Blue Line Futures

August 26, 2021

Understanding Risk-Assets Ahead of Powell

On Wednesday, we discussed the House paving the way for President Biden’s $4 trillion budget and how the lingering debt ceiling impacts Treasury issuance. The Jackson Hole Symposium will be fully virtual tomorrow. Fed Chair Powell’s speech at 9:00 am CT is the main event.

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Blue Line Futures

August 19, 2021

Making Sense of the Healthy Pullback We Want

The buyers exhaustion we spoke of was real and after sharp rebounds on Monday and Tuesday, there was simply no ammo left. Some may look to yesterday’s Fed Minutes as the catalyst, and it certainly played a role.

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Blue Line Futures

August 16, 2021

A Pivotal Week Ahead

There is a lot to unpack and look forward to at the onset of this new week. The S&P and Dow grinded higher amid low volume last week, and Friday marked the fourth straight record close for each.

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Blue Line Futures

August 12, 2021

Inflation, the Fed, and Pace of Taper

The S&P and Dow finished yesterday at fresh records, capitalizing off yields being subdued on inflation data (CPI) not running hotter than expected and a strong 10-year Note auction.

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Blue Line Futures

August 9, 2021

Commodity Carnage and Stocks at Records

Friday’s strong Nonfarm Payroll report paves the way for the Federal Reserve to announce a taper of its monthly asset purchases no later than September 22nd, when the committee concludes its next meeting.

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Blue Line Futures

August 6, 2021

Nonfarm Friday, What to Know

It is Nonfarm Friday, and today’s jobs data will prove critical in a path to normalization. Expectations are for 870k jobs created in July and for the Unemployment Rate to drop to 5.7% from 5.9%. At last week’s Fed meeting, Fed Chair Powell noted the economy is “some way away” from the committee’s employment goals.

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Blue Line Futures

July 29, 2021

Fed Aftermath and the Dollar

Federal Reserve left rates and policy unchanged. U.S Dollar Index failed breakout at 93.00 and is now breaking down from a flag pattern.

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Blue Line Futures

July 26, 2021

The Fed, China, and Mega-Cap Tech in Focus

This morning, earnings from Lockheed Martin were mixed; they beat top-line estimates but missed on the bottom. Hasbro, the toy and game maker, crushed estimates and is up more than 4% ahead of the bell. Tesla reports after the bell.

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Blue Line Futures

July 23, 2021

Most Critical Week of the Year Yet, Next Week

U.S. benchmarks are pointing higher, finding added tailwinds from social media earnings after yesterday’s closing bell. No major sector gained more than 1% yesterday, but Energy and Financials each lost about 1%.

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Blue Line Futures

July 21, 2021

Why Rates are Leading

E-mini S&P (September) / NQ (Sept) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 4315.50, up 64.25 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 14,722.75, up 182 Fundamentals: Yesterday, U.S. benchmarks snapped back from a healthy three-day slide. Can the rebound continue? Massive buying at the opening bell yesterday set the tone for a tape that had held well in … Continue reading Why Rates are Leading

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