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Bill Baruch is founder and President of Blue Line Futures, Blue Line Capital, and Blue Creek Capital. Bill has extensive experience in the financial industry as an advisor, trader and manager. He started his career as an investment banking analyst, but quickly left for the fast paced world of commodity trading in 2007. He got his start as a Market Strategist at Lind Waldock’s Chicago Board of Trade office. Lind Waldock was purchased by MF Global and he began running his own trade desk there in 2009. In 2011, he took a role as the Chief Market Strategist at iiTRADER. Blue Line Futures is a futures and commodities brokerage, Blue Line Capital is a registered investment advisor, Blue Creek Capital is a commodity trading advisor.

Blue Line Futures

October 20, 2021

Digesting Gains

U.S. benchmarks have paused to digest recent gains. Yesterday, we detailed a bullish scenario paving the way to 4620 in the S&P.

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Blue Line Futures

October 4, 2021

Crosswinds, OPEC+, and China

OPEC+ meeting in focus. The cartel is adding 400,000 bpd each month through next September. They are expected to stay the course, not adding further barrels despite Brent at $80. They are also expected to signal the ongoing fragility of the market and the potential of a surplus in first half next year.

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Blue Line Futures

October 1, 2021

A Fresh Start for Markets

It is a new quarter, a new month, and a fresh start for this market. Price action was slammed into settlement yesterday and bled lower overnight. A circus of events over the last three weeks culminated into the lowest close in the S&P since July 19th.

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Blue Line Futures

September 27, 2021

A Melting Pot of Narratives, Last Week of Q3

Tailwinds from a strong rebound last week carried to start the session, but U.S. benchmarks have surrendered those gains. In fact, the NQ has given up 1% from its overnight high. It is the last week of the 3rd quarter and there is a melting pot of narratives to focus on.

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Blue Line Futures

September 15, 2021

China, Inflation, and a Potential Crude Breakout

Deluge of economic indicators from China for August last night all underwhelmed and were impacted by Covid. China Industrial Production for August YoY at 5.3% versus 5.8% expected was the slowest since last July.

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Blue Line Futures

September 8, 2021

Jobs and Central Bankers

Traders eye tomorrow’s ECB meeting and expectations are mounting for the central bank to reduce its quantitative easing program.

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Blue Line Futures

September 3, 2021

Trading Jobs Friday

Nonfarm Payroll is due at 7:30 am CT. The report will be watched extremely close, for it could signal the Federal Reserve’s next move come September 22nd.

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Blue Line Futures

September 2, 2021

Record Highs and Claims Ahead of Nonfarm

U.S. benchmarks are again pointing higher after strength overnight. However, this week, price action has struggled to hold highs through the entirety of the U.S. session as it digests a vicious rally over the last two weeks.

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Blue Line Futures

August 26, 2021

Understanding Risk-Assets Ahead of Powell

On Wednesday, we discussed the House paving the way for President Biden’s $4 trillion budget and how the lingering debt ceiling impacts Treasury issuance. The Jackson Hole Symposium will be fully virtual tomorrow. Fed Chair Powell’s speech at 9:00 am CT is the main event.

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Blue Line Futures

August 19, 2021

Making Sense of the Healthy Pullback We Want

The buyers exhaustion we spoke of was real and after sharp rebounds on Monday and Tuesday, there was simply no ammo left. Some may look to yesterday’s Fed Minutes as the catalyst, and it certainly played a role.

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Blue Line Futures

August 16, 2021

A Pivotal Week Ahead

There is a lot to unpack and look forward to at the onset of this new week. The S&P and Dow grinded higher amid low volume last week, and Friday marked the fourth straight record close for each.

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