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Bill Baruch is founder and President of Blue Line Futures, Blue Line Capital, and Blue Creek Capital. Bill has extensive experience in the financial industry as an advisor, trader and manager. He started his career as an investment banking analyst, but quickly left for the fast paced world of commodity trading in 2007. He got his start as a Market Strategist at Lind Waldock’s Chicago Board of Trade office. Lind Waldock was purchased by MF Global and he began running his own trade desk there in 2009. In 2011, he took a role as the Chief Market Strategist at iiTRADER. Blue Line Futures is a futures and commodities brokerage, Blue Line Capital is a registered investment advisor, Blue Creek Capital is a commodity trading advisor.

Blue Line Futures

August 12, 2021

Inflation, the Fed, and Pace of Taper

The S&P and Dow finished yesterday at fresh records, capitalizing off yields being subdued on inflation data (CPI) not running hotter than expected and a strong 10-year Note auction.

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Blue Line Futures

August 9, 2021

Commodity Carnage and Stocks at Records

Friday’s strong Nonfarm Payroll report paves the way for the Federal Reserve to announce a taper of its monthly asset purchases no later than September 22nd, when the committee concludes its next meeting.

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Blue Line Futures

August 6, 2021

Nonfarm Friday, What to Know

It is Nonfarm Friday, and today’s jobs data will prove critical in a path to normalization. Expectations are for 870k jobs created in July and for the Unemployment Rate to drop to 5.7% from 5.9%. At last week’s Fed meeting, Fed Chair Powell noted the economy is “some way away” from the committee’s employment goals.

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Blue Line Futures

July 29, 2021

Fed Aftermath and the Dollar

Federal Reserve left rates and policy unchanged. U.S Dollar Index failed breakout at 93.00 and is now breaking down from a flag pattern.

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Blue Line Futures

July 26, 2021

The Fed, China, and Mega-Cap Tech in Focus

This morning, earnings from Lockheed Martin were mixed; they beat top-line estimates but missed on the bottom. Hasbro, the toy and game maker, crushed estimates and is up more than 4% ahead of the bell. Tesla reports after the bell.

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Blue Line Futures

July 23, 2021

Most Critical Week of the Year Yet, Next Week

U.S. benchmarks are pointing higher, finding added tailwinds from social media earnings after yesterday’s closing bell. No major sector gained more than 1% yesterday, but Energy and Financials each lost about 1%.

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Blue Line Futures

July 21, 2021

Why Rates are Leading

E-mini S&P (September) / NQ (Sept) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 4315.50, up 64.25 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 14,722.75, up 182 Fundamentals: Yesterday, U.S. benchmarks snapped back from a healthy three-day slide. Can the rebound continue? Massive buying at the opening bell yesterday set the tone for a tape that had held well in … Continue reading Why Rates are Leading

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Blue Line Futures

July 12, 2021

Covid Variants and Inflation

U.S. benchmarks roared directionally higher on Friday with zero volatility. A wave lower Thursday was quickly erased, and the S&P set a fresh record high on Sunday’s open.

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Blue Line Futures

July 8, 2021

Trading A Risk-Off Tone

U.S. benchmarks are down sharply on the heels of yesterday’s FOMC Minutes and ahead of a pivotal read on Jobless Claims.

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Blue Line Futures

July 1, 2021

The Dow and OPEC, Driving into Nonfarm

Last night, the S&P achieved our next major three-star resistance upside target with a high of 4305.75. In Wednesday’s Midday Market Minute, we explained how the continued construction above our roadmap of levels detailed below will lay groundwork for 4307.

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Blue Line Futures

June 30, 2021

Data Heavy Back Half of the Week

The S&P and NQ are holding at record highs as we head into the data heavy latter half of the week. At the onset, we noted that a quiet news flow will allow the Delta Variant to dominate headlines.

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