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Bill Baruch is founder and President of Blue Line Futures, Blue Line Capital, and Blue Creek Capital. Bill has extensive experience in the financial industry as an advisor, trader and manager. He started his career as an investment banking analyst, but quickly left for the fast paced world of commodity trading in 2007. He got his start as a Market Strategist at Lind Waldock’s Chicago Board of Trade office. Lind Waldock was purchased by MF Global and he began running his own trade desk there in 2009. In 2011, he took a role as the Chief Market Strategist at iiTRADER. Blue Line Futures is a futures and commodities brokerage, Blue Line Capital is a registered investment advisor, Blue Creek Capital is a commodity trading advisor.

Blue Line Futures

June 21, 2021

A Flattening, the Aftermath of a Hawkish Fed

Broadly speaking, markets are still digesting last week’s activity; the Federal Reserve’s slight hawkish turn at their policy meeting and the impact of quadruple witching. U.S. benchmarks are rebounding from Friday’s late selling and divergence where Growth vastly outperformed Value.

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Blue Line Futures

June 16, 2021

The Fed in Focus

It is Fed Day, the committee concludes their two-day policy meeting at 1:00 pm CT. They are expected to keep rates unchanged and maintain the pace of their monthly asset purchases.

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Blue Line Futures

June 8, 2021

Is a Deflationary Environment Building?

Yes, job growth for May was only 559,000 and expectations were only 650,000, so why did we just point to 1 million as being the benchmark? Not so much because of ADP, but instead of the feared hot read.

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Blue Line Futures

June 7, 2021

Midday Market Minute: June 7, 2021

Markets are digesting Friday’s enthusiasm, some better than others. In a pivotal week, let’s look at how things are setting up fundamentally and technically.

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Blue Line Futures

June 4, 2021

Trading the Jobs Report Into Next Week

It is Jobs Friday and today’s Nonfarm Payroll report for May will prove pivotal. It comes on the heels of April’s disappointment and when those Federal Reserve officials who are more hawkish have again begun talking about, talking about tapering bond purchases.

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Blue Line Futures

June 3, 2021

Risk-Off and Jobs

After struggling at resistance all week, U.S. benchmarks are now pointing lower and working their way through supports ahead of the bell.

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Blue Line Futures

June 1, 2021

June Brings a Bullish Tone

U.S. benchmarks are pointing higher ahead of the first opening bell of June. The S&P is less than 0.5% from a new record and the Dow about 0.7%. Over in Europe, the German DAX has already set a fresh record.

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Blue Line Futures

February 17, 2021

A Near-Term Inflection Point, Here is Why

U.S. benchmarks erased their holiday session gains early yesterday and battled at unchanged before finishing slightly lower. Only halfway through the month and even after yesterday’s soft tape, the S&P and NQ are up 6% and 6.6%, respectively.

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Blue Line Futures

February 12, 2021

Risk-Assets are Vulnerable, Here is Why

U.S. benchmarks have so far refused to give ground this week. They are holding steadily above last Friday’s settlement and break to fresh record highs. Waves of selling have certainly tested the market’s resilience, but a dovish Fed Chair Powell on Wednesday reaffirmed the notable ‘Fed Put’.

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Blue Line Futures

February 8, 2021

Inflation is Here, More is Coming

Three of four U.S. benchmarks, the S&P, NQ, and Russell 2000, finished at a record high Friday. The Dow was not far behind, achieving such already to start the week. The move comes on fiscal stimulus progress in Washington and certainly not because of January’s job growth.

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Blue Line Futures

January 29, 2021

Divergence and Once a Decade Move

U.S. benchmarks could not hold their rebound yesterday and were slammed into the close. This leaves a very uncertain and vulnerable landscape ahead of the weekend. In part, the violent swings from elevated levels are simply not conducive to higher prices.

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Blue Line Futures

January 28, 2021

The Biggest Short Cover in History

The flood gates opened through yesterday’s Federal Reserve policy meeting and U.S. benchmarks closed sharply lower. The committee left policy unchanged, but the risk-landscape has been on shaky footing due to ongoing fiscal policy delays in Washington.

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Blue Line Futures

October 23, 2020

This Extremely Bullish Pattern Cannot Go Unnoticed

As the stimulus impasse in Washington drags on, the market has priced out enthusiasm for a Coronavirus Aid bill ahead of the election. Last night, the final presidential debate before the November 3rd election was, for all intents and purposes, normal.

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