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Blue Line Futures is a leading futures and commodities brokerage firm located at the Chicago Board of Trade. We work with clients that range from institutional to professional to novice and from self-directed to broker-assisted. No matter what type of trader you are, our mission is simple; to put the client first. This means bringing YOU strong customer service, consistent and reliable research and state of the art technology. Visit our website at www.bluelinefutures.com to open an account and stay up to date with our research.

Blue Line Futures

March 5, 2021

The Nonfarm Payroll Roadmap for the Week Ahead

Yesterday was a bloodbath. What started as a rebound session ahead of today’s pivotal Nonfarm Payroll report at 7:30 am CT, became a sea of red after Fed Chair Powell said the committee has not planned to implement yield curve control.

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Blue Line Futures

March 3, 2021

Jobs on the Mind as Rates Creep Back Up

Monday’s strength, as glorious as it was, clearly got a little ahead of itself. U.S. benchmarks struggled to hold gains at key technical levels Tuesday before slipping into settlement.

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Blue Line Futures

February 26, 2021

The Pain Threshold Has Been Tapped

The pain threshold has been tapped and U.S. benchmarks are taking it in stride. The move in rates, particularly the 10-year Treasury Note out above 1.5%, has weighed heavily on risk-assets this week.

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Blue Line Futures

February 24, 2021

The Resistance that Defines the Week

U.S. benchmarks rebounded from yesterday’s early bloodbath and the S&P finished positive. In fact, most sectors, led by Energy and Communication Services, gained ground.

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Blue Line Futures

February 23, 2021

The Inflection Point has Arrived

Tech is getting slammed again. Yesterday, the NQ lost 2.5% and the added selling overnight is dragging the risk-environment lower. We have hammered home the rising rate narrative and how a high velocity move in the 10-year Treasury above 1.25% will tap a pain threshold at 1.50%.

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Blue Line Futures

February 18, 2021

USDA Outlook Forum

The USDA outlook forum is officially underway and will garner more attention than usual. The USDA expects 92 million acres of corn to be planted this year.

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Blue Line Futures

February 17, 2021

A Near-Term Inflection Point, Here is Why

U.S. benchmarks erased their holiday session gains early yesterday and battled at unchanged before finishing slightly lower. Only halfway through the month and even after yesterday’s soft tape, the S&P and NQ are up 6% and 6.6%, respectively.

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Blue Line Futures

February 12, 2021

Risk-Assets are Vulnerable, Here is Why

U.S. benchmarks have so far refused to give ground this week. They are holding steadily above last Friday’s settlement and break to fresh record highs. Waves of selling have certainly tested the market’s resilience, but a dovish Fed Chair Powell on Wednesday reaffirmed the notable ‘Fed Put’.

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Blue Line Futures

February 10, 2021

The Risk-On Rodeo Continues

U.S. benchmarks mustered another firm session yesterday and are pointing higher for an eighth straight trading day. The inflation narrative is front and center; first with U.S. CPI at 7:30 am CT, followed by a 10-year Treasury auction at noon CT, and wrapped up with a speech from Fed Chair Powell at 1:00 pm CT.

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Blue Line Futures

February 9, 2021

Are We Running Out of Grain?

There is a lot of hype heading into today’s USDA report, will it live up to expectations? TBD. Typically this is not a huge report, but we have seen elevated volatility levels and outside participation find its way into grain markets, which should keep things interesting.

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Blue Line Futures

February 8, 2021

Inflation is Here, More is Coming

Three of four U.S. benchmarks, the S&P, NQ, and Russell 2000, finished at a record high Friday. The Dow was not far behind, achieving such already to start the week. The move comes on fiscal stimulus progress in Washington and certainly not because of January’s job growth.

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Blue Line Futures

February 5, 2021

USDA Sends Beans to Record Highs?

The market seems tethered to the psychologically significant $5.50 level, trading that price for seven consecutive sessions. Yesterday’s weekly export sales report showed net sales of 7,436,500 MT for 2020/2021, a marketing-year high.

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Blue Line Futures

February 4, 2021

Washington and Economy on a Collision Course

U.S. equity benchmarks are stable and lurking about 1% below their record highs. January Nonfarm Payroll is due tomorrow and already in focus. Weekly Jobless Claims this morning, for the last week of the month, improved for the third week in a row.

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Blue Line Futures

January 29, 2021

Divergence and Once a Decade Move

U.S. benchmarks could not hold their rebound yesterday and were slammed into the close. This leaves a very uncertain and vulnerable landscape ahead of the weekend. In part, the violent swings from elevated levels are simply not conducive to higher prices.

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Blue Line Futures

January 28, 2021

The Biggest Short Cover in History

The flood gates opened through yesterday’s Federal Reserve policy meeting and U.S. benchmarks closed sharply lower. The committee left policy unchanged, but the risk-landscape has been on shaky footing due to ongoing fiscal policy delays in Washington.

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Blue Line Futures

January 27, 2021

What to Look for on Fed Day

It is Fed Day and risk-assets are already exuding some nervousness. In recent days and weeks, we have pointed to froth, extended valuations, and complacency as all reasons equity markets could correct 5-10% over any given two- to three-day span without being a surprise.

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Blue Line Futures

January 25, 2021

Froth Ahead of the Fed?

In the week ahead, the Federal Reserve concludes a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday and will pin the Dollar and Treasuries front and center, opening the door for a potentially sharp move across the metals space.

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Blue Line Futures

January 22, 2021

Taking a Broad Look at the Risk-Landscape

Risk-assets across the board retreated overnight and all four major U.S. benchmarks are pointing lower ahead of the bell. Still, the S&P, NQ, Gold and Silver, after pulling back and trading where they are at 5:30-6:00 am CT, are all higher on the week.

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Blue Line Futures

January 20, 2021

Adding Ags to Your Game Plan

Flash-sales from the USDA yesterday morning showed sales of 128,000 metric tons of corn for delivery to Japan during the 2020/2021 marketing year.

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Blue Line Futures

January 19, 2021

Yellen and Fiscal Front and Center

Sentiment has flipped as traders anticipate Janet Yellen’s Congressional confirmation hearing for U.S. Treasury Secretary before the Senate Finance Committee today.

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Blue Line Futures

January 14, 2021

The First Glimpse of a Biden-Powell Bromance

Today, President-elect Biden is expected to unveil his economic stimulus plan which could have a price tag as high as $2 trillion. As we have become accustom to, the anticipation of fresh measures should keep powering the bull market, however, we welcome the move with caution as markets turn a blind eye to potential headwinds.

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Blue Line Futures

January 13, 2021

This Bull-Run is at an Inflection Point

Markets have become more and more efficient in broadly pricing in expectations. Ultimately, that is why we witnessed record highs in the NQ, then S&P, Dow, and Russell 2000 in the heart of a pandemic.

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