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April 27, 2022

Oversold Market Aiming for Rebound Try

The futures for the major indices are trading higher this morning, although it is unclear if they are higher because the indices have been taking a beating of late or if they are higher because of some relief following the latest batch of earnings results.

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March 31, 2022

Lacking Conviction on Last Day of Q1

The S&P 500 futures trade five points, or 0.1%, above fair value as the market struggles for direction amid a lack of conviction on this last day of the first quarter. The benchmark index enters the session down 3.4% for the quarter but up 5.2% this month.

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March 23, 2022

Rally Rooted in Technicals And Money Flows

The futures for the major indices are lower, but don’t let that indication fool you. There isn’t any abject negativity in the negative leaning as market participants continue to lean in to the possibility of the rebound momentum carrying over today.

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March 22, 2022

Set For More Testing

Currently, the S&P 500 futures are up 15 points and are trading 0.5% above fair value, the Nasdaq 100 futures are up 24 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 162 points and are trading 0.8% above fair value.

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March 21, 2022

Bullish Resolve to Be Put to The Test

Currently, the S&P 500 futures are down two points and are trading 0.1% above fair value, the Nasdaq 100 futures are down 49 points and are trading 0.3% below fair value, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 73 points and are trading 0.1% above fair value.

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March 18, 2022

Rally Bias Not Without Its Challenges

There has been a lot of activity this week. Most of the downside activity came in short spurts on Monday and Wednesday. The rest of the week has been driven by a positive-minded bias.

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March 10, 2022

Disappointment Prevails on Geopolitical And Inflation Fronts

Fresh off yesterday’s relief rally, the stock market is back to worrying again today. The futures for the major indices are lower, principally because the optimism about a potential ceasefire arrangement between Russia and Ukraine is lower after talks between their foreign ministers broke down without any real progress.

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March 1, 2022

Better Than Expected for A Bad Geopolitical Scene

The stock market is 0-for-2 so far this year, registering declines in January and February. Today marks the start of a new month, yet there is a familiar-looking leaning in the futures market driven by some familiar-sounding concerns.

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January 18, 2022

Rates Keep Rising, Stocks Keep Falling

Rising interest rates and the fear of rising interest rates have been a thorn in the stock market’s side in early 2022. That thorn is being twisted this morning, evidenced by the weak disposition of the futures market and the pre-destined underperformance of the growth stocks.

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January 4, 2022

Stocks and Bonds Riding Their Own Waves

It was a good start to 2022 for the stock market but not the Treasury market. The S&P 500 set a new record closing high, whereas the 10-yr note yield hit a six-week high amid a wave of steady selling interest.

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December 13, 2021

Hurdle Jumping

The stock market appears to be holding a line with the positive bias that carried the S&P 500 to a new record closing high on Friday. Currently, the futures for the major indices are all trading 0.3% above fair value.

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December 8, 2021

Omicron Be Gone

Looking at the stock market this morning, it is fair to say that its concerns about the Omicron variant have been put to rest for the most part.

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November 29, 2021

Dialing Back Omicron Angst

Currently, the S&P 500 futures are up 54 points and are trading 1.2% above fair value, the Nasdaq 100 futures are up 216 points and are trading 1.4% above fair value, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 371 points and are trading 1.2% above fair value.

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November 15, 2021

Back on Track

The stock market made a good run Friday at extending its weekly winning streak to six weeks, but it came up just short.

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November 4, 2021

Fed and Market Keep Walking Bullish-Minded Line

It was clear yesterday that the stock market liked what it heard from the Federal Reserve and Fed Chair Powell. The major indices rallied following the FOMC news and press conference, settling near their best levels of the day and establishing new record closing highs.

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November 3, 2021

Fed Up

A new directive will be published at 2:00 p.m. ET and Fed Chair Powell will follow at 2:30 p.m. ET with his press conference.

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November 1, 2021

Stock Market Still Running Hot

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite had record closing highs on Friday and they are expected to keep trending higher when today’s opening bell rings.

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October 28, 2021

A Whirlwind of News

The stock market got blown over yesterday with a gust of late selling pressure, and this morning there is another whirlwind of information to digest.

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October 27, 2021

Showing Some Restraint

There is plenty of good earnings news this morning to get the stock market going, but because the going hasn’t been tough at all this month, the stock market isn’t really going like one might think.

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October 26, 2021

No Break Yet in The Positive Price Momentum

Just because some technical indicators might suggest the stock market is overbought on a short-term basis and ripe for a pullback doesn’t mean market participants will necessarily comply with that setup. They certainly aren’t in pre-market action anyway.

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October 25, 2021

Resilience Is the Word

Records were set last week by the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. More could be coming this week, but there is a big earnings hill to climb if that is going to happen.

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October 20, 2021

Bears Have Their Work Cut Out For Them

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have enjoyed five straight wining sessions. During that streak, they have increased 3.9% and 4.6%, respectively, yet their uptrending ways go back even further. Since their lows on October 4, they are up 5.6% and 6.7%, respectively.

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October 11, 2021

Market Shaken, Not Stirred, Over Bond Yields

The Treasury market isn’t open today. It is closed in observance of Columbus Day, but even so, you’ll still be hearing a lot about bonds today (including James Bond since it was opening weekend for No Time to Die).

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