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August 14, 2019
Based on the trading action in the futures market, there is no mistaking that the cash market is going to start today’s session on a decidedly lower note. Currently, the S&P futures are down 41 points and are trading 1.2% below fair value. The indications aren’t any better for the other indices.
August 12, 2019
The S&P 500 futures trade 12 points, or 0.4%, below fair value following a turbulent week on Wall Street, while investors continue to assess U.S.-China trade relations and the Hong Kong government protests.The Hong Kong protests have yet to materially affect U.S. equity markets but given the limited scope of corporate and economic news today.
August 7, 2019
U.S. equity futures have reversed course from earlier gains and now trade noticeably lower amid some startling signals in the U.S. Treasury market following more central bank easing. The S&P 500 futures are down 35 points and trade 1.2% below fair value.Three more central banks around the world cut their interest rates overnight as forecasts on the economic outlook diminish.
July 29, 2019
Record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite on Friday tell the tale of a stock market that is in a good place as the month of July winds down. Whether it can remain in that good place will have a lot to do with a series of important developments that unfold this week.
July 24, 2019
There is a different tone to the market this morning than there was yesterday morning. The tone today is negative, which is a far cry still from calling it despondent. The S&P futures are down nine points and are trading 0.3% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 42 points and are trading 0.4% below fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 103 points and are trading 0.4% below fair value.
July 22, 2019
The futures market is sporting a positive bias, as market participants look for a partial reversal of last week’s losses when the opening bell rings. The S&P futures are up nine points and are trading 0.2% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 36 points and are trading 0.3% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 55 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value.
July 19, 2019
The stock market is enjoying the best of both worlds this morning. It knows the Fed is going to cut interest rates at the end of the month and it knows Microsoft (MSFT) — the largest company by market capitalization — delivered an impressive fiscal fourth quarter earnings report.
July 17, 2019
There isn’t much conviction in the futures trade this morning, as the futures for the major indices are little changed and setting a course for a flattish start for the cash market.It’s not for a shortage of trading catalysts. There are plenty. Bank of America (BAC), United Airlines (UAL), Abbott Labs (ABT) and Cintas (CTAS) all topped quarterly earnings estimates
July 9, 2019
The stock market has that consolidation feel to it right now, which shouldn’t be entirely surprising given the huge run it had in June and knowing that some notable trading catalysts are lurking on the near horizon. The first catalyst is Fed Chair Powell’s semiannual monetary policy testimony on Wednesday.
July 2, 2019
There isn’t a lot of conviction in the early going, which is understandable as the Fourth of July holiday beckons and the post G-20 enthusiasm lessens. The S&P futures are down two points and are trading 0.1% below fair value.
June 26, 2019
The futures market is apparently feeling good about a recycled viewpoint expressed today by Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, who told CNBC that the U.S. and China were (emphasis our own) about 90% of the way there with a trade deal.The past tense is important in this observation, because it is the key to explaining why this isn’t “new” news.
June 19, 2019
It’s decision day — and we’re not talking about NBA free agents, college recruits, and the like. We’re talking about the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which will be communicating a monetary policy decision at 2:00 p.m. ET.
June 13, 2019
The S&P 500 futures trade 11 points, or 0.4%, above fair value, supported by a bounce in oil and by lingering optimism for the Fed’s policy decision next week. Many of the energy stocks are up in pre-market action following the sharp increase in the price of oil ($53.04/bbl, +$1.90, +3.7%), which fell over 4% yesterday.
June 11, 2019
The futures market is showing nice gains this morning for the major indices, which is setting up the cash market for a positive start. The S&P 500 futures are up 17 points and are trading 0.7% above fair value.
June 4, 2019
There is a rebound effort on the way. The S&P futures are up 20 points and are trading 0.9% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 60 points and are trading 1.0% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 180 points and are trading 0.9% above fair value.
May 29, 2019
Yesterday’s selling is going to persist at the start of trading. The S&P futures are down 19 points and are trading 0.6% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 64 points and are trading 0.7% below fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 187 points and are trading 0.7% below fair value.
May 21, 2019
The futures market is up this morning, reportedly cheered by the news that the Department of Commerce has granted a 90-day license that will enable Huawei to service existing networks and mobile services and, at the same time, provide some added flexibility for operators to make other arrangements.
May 13, 2019
There is a nasty tone in the futures market this morning, because there is a nasty tone in the headlines this morning on matters pertaining to trade between the U.S. and China.Currently, the S&P futures are down 56 points and are trading 1.8% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 195 points and are trading 2.4 % below fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 507 points and are 1.9% below fair value.
May 9, 2019
It’s another day and perhaps another lost dollar. The futures for the major indices are all noticeably lower with trade deal angst continuing to win out as the primary trading catalyst. Currently, S&P futures are down 28 points and are trading 0.8% below fair value. Nasdaq 100 futures are down 94 points and are trading 1.0% below fair value. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 226 points and are trading 0.5% below fair value.
May 7, 2019
Okay, the stock market has been given some reason to think a trade deal with China won’t be achieved as soon as it had previously hoped. The stock market, however, is a long way still from thinking a trade deal won’t get done at all.The stock market will go down big, and stay down for a while, if a trade deal with China falls by the wayside and higher tariff rates become entrenched. The rebound off yesterday’s lows was proof that the market isn’t expecting that to be the outcome.
May 2, 2019
The S&P futures are flat and are trading 0.1% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up seven points and are trading in-line with fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 29 points and are trading 0.2% below fair value.The inference is that there won’t be much conviction at the start of today’s trading, as the stock market seems to be licking its wounds after being told yesterday by Fed Chair Powell that the FOMC doesn’t see the need for a rate cut, because it suspects the factors pushing inflation rates lower are transitory.
April 30, 2019
If we told you Alphabet (GOOG) disappointed with weaker-than-expected revenue growth, and that China disappointed with weaker-than-expected manufacturing PMI data for April, you might be inclined to think the stock market is going to open sharply lower. Well, think again.
April 26, 2019
The earnings parade continues, with Amazon.com (AMZN), Intel (INTC), Starbucks (SBUX), Ford (F), American Airlines (AAL), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Chevron (CVX), and ExxonMobil (XOM) among some of the luminaries that have reported results since yesterday’s close.
April 22, 2019
The Easter holiday is officially over in some countries, but not others. Most of Europe is off today for Easter Monday, which means major markets there remain closed. Hong Kong, meanwhile, is also celebrating Easter Monday, so the Hang Seng did not trade today.
