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Chaikin Analytics

April 30, 2019

Favor The Trend in U.S. Equities as a Rising Dollar Impacts Foreign Markets

As equity investors, it is important to develop a broad market view. It is easy to become myopic when it comes to our analysis, focusing on one area of the market and forsaking other important areas. We prefer to take an intermarket approach to our market views. Broadly speaking, intermarket analysis is a branch of technical analysis that examines the correlations between four major asset classes: stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies. Essentially, how does movement in one asset class impact trends in a different asset class? Most equity investors know that it is important to monitor the bond market for signs of impending changes to the equity trend, but many overlook the last two groups, commodities and currencies. With the U.S. dollar moving up and out of its recent trading range, we look at the potential impact on our prevailing views across global markets.

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