October 26, 2021
How Much Pessimism Is Too Much?
Policy error, persistent inflation and COVID variants top the list of investor concerns. Rising vaccinations, positive earnings surprises and a steady Federal Reserve are among the bright spots.
October 19, 2021
Understanding Inflation Expectations and Why They Matter
Inflation expectations are what people think inflation will be in the future, but “people” can be consumers, business owners, economists, or even markets.
October 12, 2021
Build Back Better: A List of Wants, But at What Cost?
As Congress methodically moves forward to enact President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better agenda via the budget reconciliation process, it is grappling with several big issues, the biggest of which is how to pay for it.
October 5, 2021
After an Awful Month for Stocks, What’s in Store for October?
While there are certainly some issues to watch this October, I see several reasons for optimism in the longer run.
September 28, 2021
What’s Next in The Evolving Evergrande Situation?
Early last week, global markets sold off due to fears that Evergrande may be another Lehman Brothers, but we think markets misinterpreted the Evergrande situation.
September 21, 2021
What to Watch This Week: The FOMC and Evergrande
One critical issue has been on the calendar a long time — the FOMC meeting — and investors will be looking for any indications about the Federal Reserve’s plans for tapering.
September 14, 2021
Markets Look for A Foothold to Climb The ‘Wall of Worry’
Stocks had had a disappointing week last week, and there’s a lot of concern among investors. Sometimes the catalyst for stocks to move higher can simply be a pullback that is perceived to be a buying opportunity. That could be in the offing.
September 7, 2021
Powell Reassures Markets That the Fed Won’t Rush Rate Hikes
Powell offered a kinder, gentler view of tapering, declining to establish a timeline. Powell also noted that rate hikes have a more stringent set of conditions and are uncoupled from tapering plans.
August 31, 2021
Can We Get Through Tapering Without A Tantrum?
As the Fed foreshadows the possibility of dialing back its economic support, investors are concerned about a repeat of 2013’s “taper tantrum.”
August 24, 2021
As COVID Cases Rise, Will Powell Address Fed Tapering?
Headlines can have a big impact on sentiment in a short period of time. However, Kristina Hooper of Invesco thinks it is much more informative to look at mobility data than consumer sentiment.
August 17, 2021
Don’t Fear The Drawdown: Why The Economic Cycle Is Doing Just Fine
Inflation fears have turned to a growth scare. Investors turn their attention to the rising cases of the coronavirus attributed to the Delta variant.
August 10, 2021
What the Fed’s Rate Hike Comments May Mean For The Economic Recovery and Investors
Kristina Hooper of Invesco US believes the Fed’s recent comments on rates are relatively dovish, not hawkish. She fully expects the Fed to announce its plans for tapering in the late summer/early fall and to start tapering by the end of 2021.
August 3, 2021
A Closer Look at The Chinese Tech Sell-Off
Chinese regulators surprised markets by publishing regulations requiring tutoring service providers to be run as not-for-profit entities.
July 27, 2021
Now’s the Time to Prepare for The Next Market Sell-Off
Recently, sell-offs have quickly been followed by a rush back into the stock market by eager buyers. I’m closely watching four headwinds that could trigger another sell-off.
July 20, 2021
The Economic Re-Opening Drives Inflationary Pressures While COVID-19 Weighs on Markets
Last week’s US Consumer Price Index print was higher than expected. Investors immediately assumed that the Fed would raise rates more quickly, causing the yield curve to flatten.
June 30, 2021
Mid-Year Outlook: Anticipating Economic Acceleration and Temporary Inflation
In the back half of 2021, Invesco US expects to see a strong economic re-acceleration with temporary inflation.
June 15, 2021
Why Did Investors Shrug Off the Latest US Inflation Figures?
The big news from last week was the drop in the yield on the 10-year US Treasury. This was not expected given that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) print came in above expectations.
June 1, 2021
Is the Best Yet to Come for US Stocks?
May 25, 2021
Tech Stocks’ Short-Term Struggles May Lead to Long-Term Buying Opportunities
Technology stocks have been under pressure this year — thus far, the tech sector has been the second-worst-performing sector in the S&P 500 Index in 2021.
May 18, 2021
Four Truths About Inflation and The Fed
Last week, investors shuddered as data showed a big rise in prices in the US and a greater-than-expected rise in prices in the eurozone. Stocks sold off, US Treasury yields climbed higher, and market pundits obsessed over inflation.
May 11, 2021
April’s Terrible Jobs Report Doesn’t Derail My 2021 Optimism
Many people don’t know what to think about the jobs report. Is it a sign that the economic recovery is stalling? I say definitely not.
May 4, 2021
The ‘MEH’ Stock Market
Sometimes good economic news isn’t good for stocks. Here’s why we’re seeing such a moment right now.
April 27, 2021
Markets Contend with A Week of Surprises
The Bank of Canada took a hawkish turn, the Biden administration floated a tax hike proposal, and earnings season could break a record for positive surprises. Here’s a round-up of key events from the past week, and what we’re watching on the horizon.
April 20, 2021
Curious About Crypto? Here’s What to Ask Before Investing In Bitcoin
Investors of all sizes are wondering whether cryptocurrencies are right for them. These considerations can help guide your decision.
April 13, 2021
The Economic Outlook Improves, but the Shadow of COVID Lingers
The US and China lead the economic recovery, while fears of another virus wave grow in Brazil and India.
April 6, 2021
Israel’s Economic Data Starts to Show the Impact of Vaccines
Israel may provide a preview of what’s to come in the US and UK — and in any country that achieves broad vaccine distribution.
March 30, 2021
Why Investors Both Love and Fear The Fed
Investors may be grateful for the Fed’s easy money, but they’re also wary about what might come next.
March 23, 2021
A Harbinger of What’s to Come?
Last week gave us a glimpse into the mindset of US business owners and more. Kristina Hooper believes that much of the news we saw last week may be a harbinger of what’s to come over the course of 2021.
March 16, 2021
The Case for Economic Optimism
There is no lack of confidence — businesses and households are just waiting for the mass distribution of vaccines to spend.
March 9, 2021
