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TOGGLE helps active investors of all levels make better tactical decisions. It is an AI-powered app that reimagines the standard “portfolio dashboard”. It sifts through billions of data points, highlighting insights tailored to the user’s portfolio: “Yield curve just inverted. 3 of your 7 stocks typically underperform the market in subsequent 6 months” or “Seasonality for AAPL is strongly positive over the next 1-2 months.” Try it today!

TOGGLE

February 12, 2021

Recessions Are Cancelled!

Business cycle has long been at the very core of a widely accepted understanding of how modern economies operate. The cycle of expansion and recession is the closest macroeconomics gets to its version of the laws of planetary motion.

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TOGGLE

February 3, 2021

We Are Winning!

In anticipation of a vaccination-led recovery, and fueled by additional fiscal stimulus, the IMF is now expecting the US growth to reach 5.1% in 2021, an entire 2 percentage points higher than its October prediction. That would be the strongest performance since 1984, based on the data.

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TOGGLE

January 27, 2021

The Emerging (Money) Spillover

As investors watch (no doubt with some schadenfreude) masters of the universe battling a crowd of retail investors in The GameStop war, it’s worth asking where else unprecedented liquidity is likely to go.

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TOGGLE

January 25, 2021

Small Caps, Large Moves

It hasn’t gone unnoticed that the Russell 2000 index – a proxy for small cap performance – just turned in its best quarter since 1979. This is not entirely surprising because small caps typically do better as you pull out of a recession.

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TOGGLE

January 6, 2021

Why Are Oil Prices Rising?

Crude oil, along with copper, is one of those commodities experienced investors pay attention to because of their extreme sensitivity to the economic cycle.

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TOGGLE

November 30, 2020

Bracing for the Great Rebalancing

These words haunt every good run for equities into year-end: rebalancing. Large multi-asset investors that typically stick to some version of a 60-40 equity-fixed income portfolio need to readjust their holdings by selling stocks after a strong equity run.

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TOGGLE

November 19, 2020

Equity Bulls, Dollar Bears

One way to think about it is that currency movements respond to interest rate differentials, and those often reflect relative economic growth performance.

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TOGGLE

November 6, 2020

It’s Got to End Sometime

Whoever wins the election (whenever we finally find out) will inherit a US economy that remains “well below” pre-pandemic levels and continues to see more than 750,000 new unemployment claims per week.

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TOGGLE

October 21, 2020

Who Wins (After) the Election

Nasdaq is typically flat a week after Election day while S&P 500 gives some of its rise back: since 1980, it has typically dropped about 1% in the week after.

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