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Blue Line Futures

December 11, 2019

Grain Express: Dec. 11, 2019

Yesterday’s USDA report lived up to the expectations, a total snoozer. The USDA left US carryout unchanged at 1.910 billion bushels. The only noticeable change came in an increase in world carryout, 295.5mt to 300.5mt, this came on the back of a 6.7 mb increase of Chinese corn production.

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Blue Line Futures

December 10, 2019

Morning Express: Dec. 10, 2019

Major U.S benchmarks have pulled back as much as 1% amid a healthy consolidation in front of a gauntlet of events. U.S and China trade relations are the underlying catalyst but there are a number of themes from Wednesday’s Fed meeting to economic data and drama in Washington that have kept Friday’s post Nonfarm rally in check.

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Briefing.com

December 9, 2019

A Lot Hangs in The Balance

It’s just your typical Monday. Taking things from the top, China reportedly wants to get a trade deal worked out as soon as possible; there is some M&A buzz in the biotech space with ArQule (ARQL) and Synthorx (THOR) being taken out at huge premiums; worries about repo market functioning at year end are said to be festering; and there is a lot of interest in macro matters later in the week.

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Blue Line Futures

December 4, 2019

Grain Express: Dec. 4, 2019

March corn futures finished yesterday’s session little changed as market participants continue to look for new news on the wires. Those wires will probably be pretty bare until we get to next week’s USDA report, out on the 10th. Until then, our focus will be on crop developments in South America, along with money flow and technicals.

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Blue Line Futures

December 3, 2019

Morning Express: Dec. 3, 2019

U.S benchmarks slipped to start the week, and this was healthy. Price action is pointing lower again this morning ahead of the bell after President Trump signaled his willingness to delay a U.S-China trade deal until after the 2020 election. With those December 15th tariffs inching ever closer, risk-sentiment is beginning to get antsy at such elevated levels.

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The Hammerstone Group

November 26, 2019

Early Look: Tuesday, Nov. 26, 2019

Stock futures are flat across the board, with major averages maintaining the strong gains from Monday amid no major developments or stories overnight to disrupt the bullish market theme of trade optimism into the holiday shortened week.

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Blue Line Futures

November 25, 2019

Morning Express: Nov. 25, 2019

Risk-sentiment is getting a boost to start the week after China promised to tighten intellectual property laws. IP has been a major hurdle in U.S-China trade talks and what we’ve referred to as the substance. China has been extremely reluctant to include it in negotiations, even saying at one point in October it would never be included. The nation now seems to have a change of heart announcing a plan to increase penalties on violations of intellectual property rights and is supposedly considering making it easier to hand down criminal punishments.

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Blue Line Futures

November 21, 2019

Morning Express: Nov. 21, 2019

U.S benchmarks are back to the baseline and holding steady. The U.S-China trade narrative is dominating headlines, largely drowning out yesterday’s Fed minutes. Yesterday, it was rumored that an interim “Phase One” trade deal would not be signed this year and equity markets quickly slipped before competing headlines exuded confidence that negotiations to achieve a deal this year are ongoing.

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Blue Line Futures

November 18, 2019

Morning Express: Nov. 18, 2019

Major U.S benchmarks achieved a fresh wave of record highs this morning before paring gains as trade anecdotes drive the two-sided tape. It was revealed that U.S Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, U.S Trade Representative Lighthizer and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He had a “constructive” phone conversation Saturday as the two sides move closer to an interim “Phase One” trade deal.

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