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Blue Line Futures

February 26, 2021

The Pain Threshold Has Been Tapped

The pain threshold has been tapped and U.S. benchmarks are taking it in stride. The move in rates, particularly the 10-year Treasury Note out above 1.5%, has weighed heavily on risk-assets this week.

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Blue Line Futures

February 24, 2021

The Resistance that Defines the Week

U.S. benchmarks rebounded from yesterday’s early bloodbath and the S&P finished positive. In fact, most sectors, led by Energy and Communication Services, gained ground.

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Blue Line Futures

February 23, 2021

The Inflection Point has Arrived

Tech is getting slammed again. Yesterday, the NQ lost 2.5% and the added selling overnight is dragging the risk-environment lower. We have hammered home the rising rate narrative and how a high velocity move in the 10-year Treasury above 1.25% will tap a pain threshold at 1.50%.

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Blue Line Futures

February 18, 2021

USDA Outlook Forum

The USDA outlook forum is officially underway and will garner more attention than usual. The USDA expects 92 million acres of corn to be planted this year.

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Blue Line Futures

February 17, 2021

A Near-Term Inflection Point, Here is Why

U.S. benchmarks erased their holiday session gains early yesterday and battled at unchanged before finishing slightly lower. Only halfway through the month and even after yesterday’s soft tape, the S&P and NQ are up 6% and 6.6%, respectively.

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TOGGLE

February 12, 2021

Recessions Are Cancelled!

Business cycle has long been at the very core of a widely accepted understanding of how modern economies operate. The cycle of expansion and recession is the closest macroeconomics gets to its version of the laws of planetary motion.

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