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美股点评:5家公司走势预示股市将下跌

By:

Portfolio Manager with Interactive Advisors, CEO of Mott Capital Management

我在撰写今天的点评时,有一种似曾相识的感觉。实际上这不仅是昔日再现,因为同样情况确实发生过。这一天是2018年1月29日。4家公司的股票走势预示出股市将会下跌。

在2018年的交易日中,我注意到亚马逊、微软和谷歌公司的RSI均出现严重超买。苹果公司因为其他的原因,表现好坏参半。

当然,2018年1月29日之后至2月8日,事情变得异常糟糕。

同样的情况在今天的股市出现,市值最大的公司们均触及了超买水平。就表面而言,股市今天即便维持不变,上涨10点。如果不是苹果公司力挺,今天可能是糟糕的一天,指数可能会下跌。

标普500等权指数(RSP)今天实际上下跌了约15点,这已经足够证明了。请记住我以上所说的话。

纳斯达克100指数基金 (QQQ)

纳斯达克100指数基金今天收盘时的RSI位于75.5,这是一个相当高的读数。我会再次提及这一点,防止您没有收到我的信息。

当纳斯达克100指数基金的RSI达到如此高水平时,多数情况下随后的走势都不好,2018年1月的情况就如此。

苹果公司 (AAPL)

苹果公司也不例外,其RSI超过80.这不是一个可以维系下去的水平。

微软公司 (MSFT)

微软公司的情况也一样,其RSI为76.1,同时完成了5浪上涨走势。

谷歌母公司Alphabet (GOOGL)

谷歌母公司Alphabet的RSI为73,并出现了上升楔形。

亚马逊 (AMZN)

亚马逊的RSI读数为70,相对较低。

Amazon

英伟达 (NVDA)

英伟达可能是领先的表现,该公司是最早向上突破的股票之一。现在该公司是最先下跌的股票之一。

英伟达的RSI在触及83后,其股价跌破了5月19日以来的上升趋势线,并且RSI明显走低。根据技术分析和基本面,英伟达的股价可能很容易回落至650美元。

ARK Innovation指数基金 (ARKK)

ARKInnovation指数基金的RSI达76,同时在131美元附近的阻力线处严重遇阻。


7月14日美股评论所提及的股票:亚马逊、苹果公司、谷歌公司、微软公司、英伟达

7月14日评论所提及的宏观交易产品:纳斯达克100指数基金、标普500指数基金、标普500等权指数基金、ARK Innovation指数基金

Michael Kramer和Mott资产管理公司的客户持有苹果公司、微软公司和谷歌公司的股票

Disclosure: Mott Capital Management

Mott Capital Management is the portfolio manager for one portfolio offered by Interactive Advisors. Interactive Advisors clients do not invest directly with the Portfolio Managers like Mott Capital Management, and the Managers do not have discretionary trading authority over Interactive Advisors client accounts. The Portfolio Managers on the Interactive Advisors platform simply license their trade data to Interactive Advisors, which then allows its clients to have the same strategy and trading decisions mirrored in their accounts if the Portfolio is in line with their risk score. Portfolio Managers like Mott Capital Management implement their trading philosophy and strategy without knowing the identity of Interactive Advisors’ clients or taking into account these clients’ individualized circumstances.

Mott Capital Management has entered into a Portfolio Manager License Agreement with Interactive Advisors pursuant to which it provides trading data IA uses to offer a portfolio to its investment advisory clients.  Mott Capital Management is not affiliated with any entities in the Interactive Brokers Group.  

Interactive Advisors is an affiliate of Interactive Brokers LLC.

Pursuant to the Investment Management Agreement between Interactive Advisors and its clients, all brokerage transactions occur through Interactive Brokers LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Advisors. The use of an affiliate for brokerage services represents a potential conflict of interest as Interactive Brokers LLC is paid a commission on trades executed on behalf of Interactive Advisors. Interactive Brokers LLC does not consider this conflict material as it does not sell, solicit, recommend, trade against or otherwise attempt to induce Interactive Advisors to place any orders in any products. Interactive Advisors does not offer services through any other broker-dealer.  All trading by Interactive Advisors is self-directed. Interactive Advisors clients acknowledge this potential conflict of interest and authorize Interactive Advisors to execute transactions through Interactive Brokers LLC when they open an Interactive Advisors account. Clients should consider the commissions and other expenses, execution, clearance, and settlement capabilities of Interactive Brokers LLC as a factor in their decision to invest in an Interactive Advisors Portfolio. Interactive Advisors believes it satisfies its best execution obligation by trading its clients’ trades through Interactive Brokers LLC. While there can be no assurance that it will in fact achieve best execution, Interactive Advisors does periodically monitor the execution quality of transactions to ensure that clients receive the best overall trade execution pursuant to regulatory requirements.

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Disclosure: Chinese Translation

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