美股点评:标普500指数跌出年内新低

By:

Portfolio Manager with Interactive Advisors, CEO of Mott Capital Management

美股市场在9月26日下跌,标普500指数下跌1%,收盘位于3655点,甚至低于6月份的低点3666点,创下本轮周期的新低。

这一轮美股的下滑是随着美国利率上涨,强劲的美元与美国国债收益率价差扩大而同步出现的。这推涨了隐含波动率,从而将标普500指数拖下了水。

标普500指数尝试反弹,不过在早盘就失败了,标普500指数目前进入了超卖状态,其相对强弱指数RSI低于30,同时指数的交易区间位于布林带的下端。不过市场当前超卖的状态并不意味着进一步下滑与超卖不会出现。

标普500指数在1月份曾比现在更为超卖。我希望可以观察到RSI创下新低,那样意味着标普500指数将进一步下跌。

通胀债券指数ETF VS 纳斯达克指数

与此同时,10年期通胀债券指数ETF今天上涨31基点,收益率收盘为1.62%,这是自2010年春天以来的最高收盘水平。

不过令人抓狂的是,即便纳斯达克指数已经从最高点下滑了33%,该指数当前的估值仍高于2009年以来的任意时刻。股市下跌的节奏未能跟上通胀债券指数ETF收益率上涨的速度。

AMD (AMD)

AMD股票接近填补位于62.60美元处的缺口。

AMD

Adobe (ADBE)

Adobe目前的股价低于疫情期间的低点,并且可能在跌向261美元的路上。

Block (SQ)

Block公司股价跌破扩大的上升楔形,可能正跌向疫情的低点。

9月26日美股评论所提及的股票:AMD公司、Adobe公司、Block公司

9月26日评论所提及的宏观交易产品:标普500指数基金、纳斯达克指数、iShares通胀债券指数ETF

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Mott Capital Management is the portfolio manager for one portfolio offered by Interactive Advisors. Interactive Advisors clients do not invest directly with the Portfolio Managers like Mott Capital Management, and the Managers do not have discretionary trading authority over Interactive Advisors client accounts. The Portfolio Managers on the Interactive Advisors platform simply license their trade data to Interactive Advisors, which then allows its clients to have the same strategy and trading decisions mirrored in their accounts if the Portfolio is in line with their risk score. Portfolio Managers like Mott Capital Management implement their trading philosophy and strategy without knowing the identity of Interactive Advisors’ clients or taking into account these clients’ individualized circumstances.

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Disclosure: Chinese Translation

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