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美股点评:亚马逊近期反弹源于逼空

By:

Portfolio Manager with Interactive Advisors, CEO of Mott Capital Management

美股市场在9月1日尝试反弹。资金流入日的开盘强劲,不过收盘前下跌并收盘全天持平。

波动率指数可能发挥了关键作用,有相当数量的标普500指数看跌期权直至当天稍晚时候,这似乎为波动率指数的上涨提供了动能,从而导致了标普500指数的下跌。

波动率指数在上升趋势线处获得支撑,这一趋势线自7月初以来发挥了良好的作用。

上升趋势线是关键并且过去曾作为转折点。如果这一趋势线能继续维系,则意味着波动率指数在未来几天会涨向更高,可能重返位于20附近的长期下降趋势线附近。

标普500指数基金(SPY)

标普500指数基金的图表在当前位置看起来不稳,尤其是在波动率指数继续上涨的情况下。10分钟日内图表上的走势看起来有点像是双顶形态。

不幸的是,这一形态在标普500指数跌破4520点之前不会获得确认。

4440点处需填补的缺口是一个合理的回归点位。

亚马逊 (AMZN)

亚马逊10%的反弹看起来完全受益于gamma逼空。隐含成交量和看涨期权成交量上涨,偏斜指数下跌是明显的信号。

考虑到亚马逊股价目前的位置,逼空目前似乎结束了;我们应该会观察到亚马逊股价回落的出现。


3520美元一线看起来是一个强阻力线。

Square公司 (SQ)

Square公司的股票日益接近突破上升趋势线。Square公司的股价在周一上涨,周二则抹去了全部涨幅,今天则维持不变。

在Square公司收购Afterpay公司的交易完成之前,可能Square公司股价不会有什么变化。

Square公司使用股票进行收购,因为该公司将发行更多的股票,对于现有的股东而言稀释了其股份。

Square

Zoom公司 (ZM)

Zoom公司昨日下跌近17%,昨日度过了不美好的一天。Zoom公司今天能做的也就是上涨50基点。如果这就被视为反弹,Zoom公司股票可能将面临更大的问题。Zoom公司的股价可能很快触及230美元。

9月1日美股评论所提及的股票:Zoom公司、Square公司、亚马逊

9月1日评论所提及的宏观交易产品:标普500指数基金、波动率指数

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Mott Capital Management is the portfolio manager for one portfolio offered by Interactive Advisors. Interactive Advisors clients do not invest directly with the Portfolio Managers like Mott Capital Management, and the Managers do not have discretionary trading authority over Interactive Advisors client accounts. The Portfolio Managers on the Interactive Advisors platform simply license their trade data to Interactive Advisors, which then allows its clients to have the same strategy and trading decisions mirrored in their accounts if the Portfolio is in line with their risk score. Portfolio Managers like Mott Capital Management implement their trading philosophy and strategy without knowing the identity of Interactive Advisors’ clients or taking into account these clients’ individualized circumstances.

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