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美股点评:苹果、特斯拉

By:

Portfolio Manager with Interactive Advisors, CEO of Mott Capital Management

标普500指数今日上涨约30点。这是股市普普通通的反弹。人们本以为随着美元指数下跌50基点以及波动率指数跌至18.5,股市的涨幅会更大。

波动率指数下跌没有产生之前下跌时所产生的影响,也许是因为隐含波动率下降所带来的连带影响小了许多。作为结果,标普500指数仅上涨了30点。

我想您肯定好奇股市如何可以再上涨?这是一个很好的问题。

波动率指数跌至16是否会让标普500指数重返4550点?不过波动率指数在过去两个交易日里从20跌至18.6仅让标普500指数获得30点的“大幅反弹”?祝您好运。

目前而言,我更担心股市下跌以及出现波动率指数飙升至24或25的情况,这可能会导致指数的大幅下跌。目前的市场走势过于机械化,与期权市场的链接过于紧密。两者的关系是如此明显。您仅需观察标普500指数的橙色线的走势,并将其波峰和波谷与波动率指数的蓝色线进行比较。

苹果公司 (AAPL)

苹果公司的股价下跌,不过市场似乎对昨日iPhone因芯片短缺而减产的消息毫不在意。苹果公司的股价微跌,幅度不及预期。我认为今天相比昨日的情况没有任何变化,苹果公司的股价仍有可能跌至132美元附近的趋势线处。

Facebook (FB)

Facebook在目前的点位看起来超卖,Facebook的股票尝试维系住200日移动均线处的支撑线。

不过,该公司的股价可能会从目前的位置稍微上涨一些,随着财报季的展开,325美元有望是Facebook股价的目标价。

特斯拉 (TSLA)

特斯拉股票看起来走出了一个上升楔形的形态,这是一个看跌的反转形态。该形态加上目前超买的相对强弱指数RSI。特斯拉的股价若跌至795美元以下可能是跌向720美元的开始。

10月13日美股评论所提及的股票:苹果公司、Facebook、特斯拉

10月13日评论所提及的宏观交易产品:标普500指数基金、波动率指数

Michael Kramer与Mott资产管理公司的客户持有苹果公司、特斯拉的股票

Disclosure: Mott Capital Management

Mott Capital Management is the portfolio manager for one portfolio offered by Interactive Advisors. Interactive Advisors clients do not invest directly with the Portfolio Managers like Mott Capital Management, and the Managers do not have discretionary trading authority over Interactive Advisors client accounts. The Portfolio Managers on the Interactive Advisors platform simply license their trade data to Interactive Advisors, which then allows its clients to have the same strategy and trading decisions mirrored in their accounts if the Portfolio is in line with their risk score. Portfolio Managers like Mott Capital Management implement their trading philosophy and strategy without knowing the identity of Interactive Advisors’ clients or taking into account these clients’ individualized circumstances.

Mott Capital Management has entered into a Portfolio Manager License Agreement with Interactive Advisors pursuant to which it provides trading data IA uses to offer a portfolio to its investment advisory clients.  Mott Capital Management is not affiliated with any entities in the Interactive Brokers Group.  

Interactive Advisors is an affiliate of Interactive Brokers LLC.

Pursuant to the Investment Management Agreement between Interactive Advisors and its clients, all brokerage transactions occur through Interactive Brokers LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Advisors. The use of an affiliate for brokerage services represents a potential conflict of interest as Interactive Brokers LLC is paid a commission on trades executed on behalf of Interactive Advisors. Interactive Brokers LLC does not consider this conflict material as it does not sell, solicit, recommend, trade against or otherwise attempt to induce Interactive Advisors to place any orders in any products. Interactive Advisors does not offer services through any other broker-dealer.  All trading by Interactive Advisors is self-directed. Interactive Advisors clients acknowledge this potential conflict of interest and authorize Interactive Advisors to execute transactions through Interactive Brokers LLC when they open an Interactive Advisors account. Clients should consider the commissions and other expenses, execution, clearance, and settlement capabilities of Interactive Brokers LLC as a factor in their decision to invest in an Interactive Advisors Portfolio. Interactive Advisors believes it satisfies its best execution obligation by trading its clients’ trades through Interactive Brokers LLC. While there can be no assurance that it will in fact achieve best execution, Interactive Advisors does periodically monitor the execution quality of transactions to ensure that clients receive the best overall trade execution pursuant to regulatory requirements.

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Disclosure: Chinese Translation

这篇文章已被翻译成中文。如英文版本和中文版本之间有任何不一致,以英文版本为准。该文章中的分析仅为提供信息,不是也不应该被视为推销或招揽购买任何证券。文章中讨论的一般市场活动、行业或领域趋势、或其它基于广泛的经济或政治条件的内容,不应被解释为研究结果或投资建议。讨论中提及包括的特定证券、商品、货币、或其它产品均不构成IB推荐购买,出售或持有此类投资的建议。本材料不是也不意图针对个别客户的特定财务条件、投资目标或要求。在根据本材料采取行动之前,您应该考虑是否适合您的具体情况,并在必要时寻求专业建议。

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