美股点评:美元指数、奈飞和台湾半导体

By:

Portfolio Manager with Interactive Advisors, CEO of Mott Capital Management

美国市场

  • 标普500指数期货 上涨10点
  • 美国10年期国债 1.89%
  • 美元指数 96.83
  • 原油期货 59.94美元
  • 波动率指数VIX 12.69

 

国际市场

  • 日经指数  上涨2.55%
  • 韩国KOSPI指数  上涨1.54%
  • 上证综指  上涨1.78%
  • 香港恒生指数  上涨2.57%
  • 英国富时指数FTSE  上涨1.73%
  • 德国DAX指数  上涨1%

宏观

鲍里斯·约翰逊率领保守党赢得英国大选的新闻在隔夜市场获得广泛报道,大选结果为英国脱欧最终完成铺平了道路。英镑兑美元飙升至约1.34,并推动美元指数下滑。

美元指数

我不时评论美元指数疲软的趋势将会出现,而此种趋势目前已经全面发挥作用了。美元指数现在已经跌破其上升趋势线并接近位于96.50处的支撑线。

若跌破该支撑线则可能导致美元指数剧挫至94。

若这种情况发生,则会对跨国公司的盈利产生巨大的积极影响并且有助于提高大宗商品的价格。

标普500指数ETF(SPY)

标普500指数期货上涨,并且预示着现货指数开盘约在3180点处,继续着涨向3200点的进程。

我不清楚若您是一个等待衰退出现的做空者会如何应对目前的情况。我们上一次讨论指数可能达到如此高度还是在三月份。

股票

亚马逊(AMZN)

亚马逊的股价开始上涨,我在本周早些市场曾经指出,基于看涨期权的押注和亚马逊股票技术图形的改善,该公司的股价已经做好上涨的准备。

奈飞(NFLX)

我还曾经指出,也出现了对奈飞公司的股票待看涨期权押注,我同样认为奈飞公司的股票将涨向更高。

Freeport(FCX)

随着铜价的上涨和美元指数下跌,Freeport公司的股价有可能进一步上涨。期权的投资者自9月初以来就紧盯Freeport的股票。

阿卡迪亚制药(ACAD)

不知是什么力量在此前推动阿卡迪亚制药的股价下跌,并接近完成一个完美的趋势线。可能是交易者设置好交易程序后就忘记了它,或者是交易者过于懒惰。你通常不会看到如此完美的趋势线。不论是什么,希望这种力量将会消失。我在昨天中午点评过将要形成突破的股票。

台湾半导体公司(TSM)

台湾半导体公司的股价再次上涨,基于对期权交易和图表形态的分析,该公司的股价可能涨向61美元。

12月13日美股评论所提及的股票:阿卡迪亚制药、奈飞、亚马逊、台湾半导体公司、Freeport公司

12月13日评论所提及的宏观交易产品:标普500指数基金、美元

Michael Kramer和Mott Capital的客户持有奈飞公司、阿卡迪亚制药公司的股票

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