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飓风的阴影

Briefing.com

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Briefing.com
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Chief Market Analyst

市场参与者在劳工节假期前期盼特朗普总统会在推特上宣布推迟9月1日的关税措施,从而为假日锦上添花。但是这种情况并未发生。贸易的现实情况以及其他事件的后续发展为今天低开设定了基调。

目前,标普500指数期货下跌19点,交易价格低于公允价值0.7%。纳斯达克100指数期货下跌49点,交易价格低于公允价值0.7%。道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌217点,交易价格低于公允价值0.8%。

上周取得的涨幅已经被今早多个消息投下的阴影所笼罩。

  • 英国首相约翰逊威胁称,若英国国会在本周成功通过立法阻止10月31日的无协议脱欧,他将在10月14日举行大选。英镑兑美元继续走软。
  • 8月份的欧洲和亚洲两国的PMI数据与预期结果不符,不过多数低于50.0,意味着制造业活动出现减缓
  • 8月份韩国CPI按年同比持平,但维持在历史最低点。
  • 意大利五星运动党的支持者今日将对联合政府提议进行网上投票

在这些头条新闻外,许多人(不仅仅是市场参与者)关注飓风多利安的路径。巴哈马在长周末期间遭遇飓风的袭击,目前飓风多利安升级为3级飓风并正扑向佛罗里达沿岸。

气象学家称飓风多利安最终可能避开佛罗里达沿岸并趋近佐治亚州和卡罗莱纳州,但仍谨慎地警告称飓风多利安可能转向并正面袭击佛罗里达州。

因为长周末和应对飓风而做准备影响了常规的商业活动。

交易者在本周这个短交易周关注的焦点是飓风多利安的最终影响,以及一系列将公布的经济数据和美联储官员的演讲。

今天的经济日程包括8月份ISM制造业指数数据(Briefing.com预估为51.3,前值51.2)和七月份的建筑支出报告数据(Briefing.com预估为上涨0.3%,前值下跌1.3%)。

8月份就业数据将于周五公布。届时,飓风多利安将处于末期阶段,因为市场正应对复杂的信号以及某些关键方面的高度不确定性,期望就业数据不会为股市投下更多的阴影。

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