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Is Crypto a Better Investment Than Stock?

By:

Chief Content Strategist

The everyday person’s approach to investing has been completely overhauled in the last year. Gone are the days of 70/30 stock-bond funds touting plain, passive asset allocations. Increased access to both alternative markets and greater education has pushed many investors to more innovative products as well as nonstock markets like crypto; but, is this a good thing?

BTC, S2Y, & SM75 \ Bitcoin, Small 2YR Yield, & Small Stocks Indexes

BTC, S2Y, & SM75 \ Bitcoin, Small 2YR Yield, & Small Stocks Indexes

Source: dxFeed Index Services (https://indexit.dxfeed.com)

Even in a year when popular equity indexes like the S&P 500 have far outperformed their historical average, newer versions of the old bond market like Small 2YR Treasury Yields and new markets altogether like Bitcoin have far outperformed stocks.

MarketYear-to-Date Return
Bitcoin+81%
Small 2YR Treasury Yield Index+437%
Small Stocks 75 Index+33%

Index Data as of 11/23/21 via dxFeed Index Services (https://indexit.dxfeed.com) and Yahoo! Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/)

Volatility: How It Affects Potential Returns

While high returns are nice, they often come at the expense of high portfolio volatility. Markets seldom march a poised path to an abundance of percentage points, and the monthly standard deviations reflect such a relationship as the markets with the highest returns have the largest fluctuations. Bitcoin, for example, climbed 100% in the early part of the year before turning slightly negative and then bouncing back.

MarketMonthly Standard Deviation
Bitcoin+/-22%
Small 2YR Treasury Yield Index+/-34%
Small Stocks 75 Index+/-4%

Index Data as of 11/23/21 via dxFeed Index Services (https://indexit.dxfeed.com) and Yahoo! Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/)

Diversification: How It Can Reduce Volatility

A mix of high returns and low volatility can be found by simply mixing markets. Diversification gives your portfolio the ability to see big upside at a theoretically smaller rate of fluctuation. In 2021, distributing an investor’s funds across Bitcoin, Smalls 2YR, and Small Stocks would have returned well over 100% with a monthly standard deviation considerably less than the two outperforming markets.

PortfolioYear-to-Date Return & Monthly Standard Deviation
⅓ Bitcoin + ⅓ Small 2YR + ⅓ Small Stocks+185% +/-15%

Small 2YR and Small Stocks 75 Index Data as of 11/23/21 via dxFeed Index Services (https://indexit.dxfeed.com) and Yahoo! Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/)

The future will dictate whether crypto and some of the new ways to play old classics are better investments than traditional stocks, but you can test the hypothesis for yourself by getting small positions going in both while holding equities in what can be concluded as a well-diversified portfolio.

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