Nasdaq100 (NQ) is consolidating after the strong short covering last week, taking a breather before it attempts an extension to descending wedge resistance (on the weekly chart) going into February. NQ does not appear likely to slide back to the 2022 low before month end, with any test of the psychologically key 10k whole figure level and weekly chart descending wedge support likely deferring until at least mid February. Further short covering may kick in as early as today 830am EST with the US’ Empire State manufacturing index, and Wednesday following the US’ PPI and retail sales data. Monitor as usual the Ukraine-Russia conflict. Congratulations to paying subscribers who benefited from the Oct 18, 2022 analysis highlighting the early stages of a month plus Dead Cat Bounce, the Jan 18, 2022 warning of the NQ keeling over on a monthly chart, the alert February 18th, 2020 one day before the record high in the S&P500, warning of a pending slide in the Nasdaq100 and from the March 24th, 2020 report highlighting the looming multiday to multiweek rebound in NQ. The weekly RSI, Stochastics are bottomish or consolidating recent gains, but weighed by an overbought daily Stochastics. I am looking to enter short in the red zone (of the daily chart), targeting the green zone for early February. The amber/yellow zone is where I might place a stop if I was a swing trader (although in my personal account with which I seldom hold overnight I sometimes set my stops tighter). Click here for analysis on S&P500, NATURAL GAS
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